Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Fact or Fiction: Tiger Will Never be the Same...

THE PLAYERS Championship - Final Round
I can't even say how tired I am of hearing about Tiger's slump and how he'll never be the same dominant player he has been. Let's take a look at the facts:

Tiger is currently leading the PGA Tour in scoring average at 69.13 per round. Number 2, David Toms, averages 69.69 per round for a difference of just over a half a stroke per round. To put that number in perspective numbers 2 through 17 are separated by just over a half a stroke per round.

Next let's look at results. After all, that's what counts right? Only two players have more top 10 finishes this year - Sean O'Hair and Kenny Perry both have one up on Tiger in that statistic. They also have 11 and 12 starts, respectively, to Tiger's 6. Only two players have more wins than Tiger - Phil Mickelson and Geoff Ogilvy both have 2 wins to Tiger's 1. They have 10 starts each. So considering the percentages, Tiger has finished in the top 10 in 83.3% of his starts (and 100% of his stroke play starts) and has won 16.6% of the events he's entered. Sean O'Hair and Kenny Perry have finished in the top 10 54.5% and 50% of the time, respectively. Phil Mickelson and Geoff Ogilvy have slightly higher win percetages at 20% a piece but do you honestly think one of them will win again before Tiger does? I don't...

At any rate, let's remember that no one on Tour is more competitive than Tiger. No one works harder. Tiger will keep on piling up top 10 finishes and my guess is that he'll win at least 5 or 6 events this year with 1 or 2 being majors making it a pretty average year for the world's best. Just because he isn't winning every tournament doesn't mean he's falling apart people!

Verdict: Fiction

Click here to read Doug Ferguson's article for PGA.com on this subject.

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1 comment:

  1. This is a sweet blog. I love to golf too. I agree with you that it's fiction. Tiger is the man. And will always be an amazing golfer.

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